China/Taiwan Relationship: picture

The fallen leaf is nevertheless part of the tree,
For they share the same roots.

Pie-losophy: Discourse on Fate (Part 2/2)

The Big Picture

Looking at the "Big Picture" of this model, we see that a large of number of objects are constantly moving within the coordinate system, new objects are created each moment, some objects are deleted, and associations amongst objects are made simultaneously. These associations, as well as interactions or collisions, occur based on the mathematical probability each object carries with respect to another. The mathematical probability is dependent on the laws of physics and the level of human civilization.

Chaos Theory and the Butterfly Effect

So far this model is similar to the Chaos Theory. The Chaos theory essentially says that minute changes in the initial state could have huge difference in outcome. A classic example of the Chaos Theory is the Butterfly Effect, in which a butterfly in France flapping its wings could result in a tornado in America. The change in the initial state due to the butterfly's wings creates a chain reaction of amplified chaotic natural behaviour.

Although the Pie-losophy model acknowledges small changes could result in a huge outcome, the Pie-losophy model is fundamentally different on three points.

1. In my model, there is no reference state to be an initial state as the universe is constantly changing, therefore the "initial state" is always being reset, which makes it meaningless to define.

2. On the idea of "chain reaction". In my model, a change in the system simply changes the mathematical probability of occurrence only within the objects with connections. If that butterfly in France is trapped in a glass jar, my theory says that it has infinitesimal effect on America because there lack a connection between two objects butterfly and America.

3. Chaos theory addresses changes in physical state but not abstract changes such as generating a thought in one's mind. In my model, abstract objects are still objects, and they can change the mathematical probability of an event. One's thought of suicide creates a new abstract object and brings the personal probability of suicide to above 0%.

Therefore, simply the thought of something could very much change an outcome...(Aye fate). Whether or not it happens, it depends on other mathematical probabilities like I explained in the "Big Picture". All of this, the Chaos Theory does not address.

Particle Theory and Illusion

So far so good. But the problem arises when events with low probabilities occur such as in what we call "luck" or "freak accidents". This, sometimes people call is the result of "fate".

To this, I'm going to borrow and incorporate the model of molecular collision from chemistry and particle physics.

In our established model, objects are in constant motion, this is very much like chemical reactions and particle physics. Some reactions are rare on a microscopic level, the rate of reaction defined as the number of collisions per time period. Deuterium, a rare isotope of hydrogen, consists about 1 in 6,400 of all hydrogen atoms. Although very difficult to create through natural collision, an abundant of these isotopes are in fact created during the Big Bang. In explaining fate, event with low probability does occur given sufficient number of collisions. If we take a cross-sectional snapshot of collisions in our model, at any given time, we are able to identify occurrences, yet each event still held the original low probability. Fate is therefore inevitable on the macro scale - what may not happen to you has to happen to someone else.

My second point on the topic of "luck" or "freak accident" is that it's delusional. If I had two options each time I make a choice and I make the choice five times, my 50% probability turns into 0.5^5 = 0.03125 or 3%! The occurrence of the 5th event at 3% seems very low, yet that is because the 5th event aggregated the probability of previous events. 3% is the probability of event 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 instead of just event 5. If event 5 is ''getting lucky with Kayla" then, although it seems like unlikely, it is actually very probable. The low probability of "luck" is therefore delusional.

Einstein and Relativity

Since we have a model with moving objects, these objects are under relativistic effects. Because some objects, abstract objects such as universal truth, is independent of time, it sets a course for how fast objects are to move or change. A rapid change of temperature from summer to fall make people sick, because the change created a series of effects on objects linked to it (which are a lot of things). Since all these associated objects have to change in corresponding to the initial change, this rapid chaotic movement alters people's fate. As a result, some people get very sick and die from it.

Lastly, on Free Will

The Greek sees "fate" something irreversible. Once a prophecy is set, it must happen...despite defying laws of physics in some cases. As much I am fond of Greek romantics, it lacks rational reasoning in explaining what 'fate' actually is.

From such understanding though, we are develop this idea of contradiction between Free Will and Pre-destined Fate. This controversy is problematic in most philosophical models, in which I find the "Buddhist Karma" as the best model on this issue.

In my model, free will has the property to co-exist with probability, and moreover, fate. Therefore there is no controversy in this model. Let's take a look.

First off, free will is often hindered by sociology. Rape and murder are deemed unacceptable acts, therefore this idea of free will is limited in the practical sense.

Now, if we were to extend the idea of free will to its max, we'll have to look at it in the philosophical sense. In this perspective, free will is the ability to do anything as your body is capable of and your mind desires. There is no societal pressure on such act as "freedom of speech"; you absolutely have the right to say and do the most offensive thing to anyone you want because it is your free will (this isn't poli-sci or sociology). It is only convincing to prove that free will is very limited when we stretch the idea of free will as much as possible; we've done so by looking at it in the philosophical sense.

Back to our 4D time-space continuum, we further understand free will. At the micro level, free will is limited to individual choices, which based on the model, has limited effects to change probabilities of outcomes. On the societal level, probabilities of events are determined by a collection of free wills. This collection of free wills undermines the effect of individual free will. But look further, on the macro scale, there are many events independent of free will that only subject to laws of physics and chaos. Despite entire population's will that when I flip a fair coin it lands Queen-side up, and despite my best effort to dictate my body to obtain such result using my own free will, laws of physics governs the final outcome. From this analysis, we conclude that one's free will has its limits on one's fate.

Theory Recap

Fate is an outcome of one's life that is constantly changing and occurs on the principle of mathematical probabilities and laws of physics. People have total free will, but they have minimum effects on fate. At the end of the day, you flip a coin and call on it. That's fate. What do you want me to do about it?

Pie-losophy: Discourse on Fate (Part 1/2)

Laws of Newton govern nature, laws of Napoleon govern society, then there's chemistry that tries to govern people's behaviours. And biology... which tries to govern the fate of one's life.

Fate, it could be as ordinary as meeting a love of your life at a debate tournament, or becoming CEO of a corporation, or even the king of Scotland.

The idea of fate is old, really old, but I won't talk about Apollo's oracles, Shakespearean tragedies, or J.P. Sartre's determinism, let's talk in modern terms, some 22nd century "Pie-losophy".

A Basic View of the Model

I think of the basis of fate as a series objects like in Java programming and computer science, where each object has a physical address in the RAM or hard-drive. In the abstract of life, these "objects" are life events, and their "physical address" is mapped on the x-y-z Cartesian space or R^3 dimension if you prefer polar coordinate system, with t-variable; this is known as the 4D world.

Based on this model, some life events are only accessible through triggering events that has a pointer to it, like object-oriented programming. Objects are "tangible", while the pointers in Java programming are abstract variables directed to objects. Furthermore, each objects and pointers are self-programmed, meaning that these objects and pointers are continuously created and deleted to maintain the Taoist idea of harmony.

If you don't understand computer science, you will understand everything I'm about to tell you, starting......now.

The Model Simplified - Without Computer Science

Objects in real life can be abstract such as ideas, events, or they can be physical, such as humans, animals, and other tangible items such as chairs and desks. Some objects can be time-dependent, meaning their position in the 4D world changes with respect to time. Others can be position-dependent, their positions depend on those of others' positions. Amongst objects are pointers. For instance, when I, a tangible time-dependent object in the 4D space, am typing this article, my mind is thinking of things, or creating objects (in this case, thoughts, which are abstract and position-dependent because they are attached to me), and commanding my hands to type. By typing, I made a connection between the thoughts and my fingers. The result is the creating of another object, this article that exists on my blog. As you read this, you make connections to this article I wrote, any thoughts you have may be created as new objects. However, since this article can be meaningless to you, they could be deleted in a very short amount of time.

Fate, in this sense, is the association of objects through collisions in this 4D world. For example, two objects, a person and a car, collide at position x0,y0,z0, at time0. This resulted in the person's death. Fate.

Basic Understanding and the Earliest Fate

My idea of fate is one that is self-governing. Let's look Earth 4,000 years ago, when the first trace of human civilization was identified. What is fate for our ancestors of those days? I believe that they had to live out life in a specific way, just like animals. Certainly back then they did not have the fate to be the first man to walk on the moon or the inventor of lightbulb. Their fate is limited to the options their retrospective society provided. Because that society lack intelligence, their fate is determined by individual biology. Those who are sexy reproduce, and their genes live on. This is fate in the most basic human society.

The Changing Behaviours of Fate

However, natural selection advances human civilization, as explained by Darwin's theory of Evolution and empirical evidence. This advancement proves two things; 1. human intelligence is aggregated, and 2. fate changes as our options change. Human intellectual history support the fact that each generation is getting smarter and more knowledgeable on the macro scale. Therefore, intelligence must be aggregated. Since a higher level of civilization means that there are more options available for people, there are more scenarios on how one's life will play out - the latter part, by definition, is what we call "fate". With the premises we established thus far, we can conclude that fate is constantly changing as civilization changes. Therefore, fate is pre-destined by no other than its clients - us.

Mathematical Probability of Fate

Imagine a time, t = year 2001...B.C.E., when automobiles were never invented, it is then impossible for someone to die from a car accident; the mathematical probability of such event would be 0%. Thus, no one has the fate to die from a car accident.

However, because of the advances of human civilization and aggregated intelligence, automobiles were invented. This created scenarios for people to die from a car accident. Whether or not one is fated for a car accident is dependent on a complicated model of mathematical probability.

Driving under the influence of alcohol increases one's probability of getting into a car accident, however, it does not guarantee it. The event of an auto accident also takes the account of a series of other events that have their own probabilities of occurrence. If a drunk person drives a car in an open field with absolutely no one around him, he has a 0% chance of killing someone else besides himself.

Next part, I'll talk about "The Big Picture", "Chaos Theory and Butterfly Effect", "The Relativistic Effect" and integrate ideas of religion into the explanation of fate, including the school of "Free will".

Apollo - Greek God of Prophecy